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But the concept of toxic masculinity should lead us to examine our preconceptions and recognise that even if a hero is depicted positively within the film, and framed as “strong”, “successful”, “admirable”, and “virile”, the values and qualities that lead to the fictional hero’s positive depiction can actually be damaging, unhealthy, or unfairly burdensome if they are emulated by real people. For instance, the classic character of Bruce Willis in Die Hard demonstrates traditional masculine virtues of stubborn resilience, independent strength, loyalty, and a tendency to spit in the face of overwhelming odds. However, these are products of male power fantasy. In reality, and in day-to-day life, these “virtues” actually lead to a damaging inability to maintain mutually-respectful relationships, emotional isolation, and self-harmful behaviours. Indeed the films demonstrate a level of self-awareness in this regard as we see the films begin by depicting McClane’s utter failure in his personal life. Although this is just before the very qualities that ruined his marriage, distanced his children, and crippled his career are then lauded as exemplary virtues within the very particular extraordinary set of circumstances within the film’s action. Nevertheless, reality is that every single man watching the film would never face such a set of circumstances themselves, and so if they ever emulated McClane’s “virtues”, they would end up toxifying their lives rather than winning the day and getting the girl, though this would not be apparent on the surface. Toxic masculinity is the awareness that the traditional masculine values as depicted by these fantasies, actually do not lead to the positive results that the films show, perhaps not even if Joe Ordinary was suddenly transplanted into those extraordinary circumstances, but certainly not in the day-to-day reality which Joe himself lives in. To properly analyse the masculinity presented, one needs to look beyond the surface depiction, the “film-world” in which the characters themselves live and act. In the film-world, a character can be shown to be successful when in the real-world, a person behaving as the character does would be a failure. This of course, relies on our definition of “failure”. Traditionally, and in many of these films, a man only needs to be able to survive violent conflict, or rise above (i. e. stoically ignore) personal weaknesses such as cowardice, envy, greed, sorrow, or fear, in order to be considered successful. But, as Jesus said, “if a man gains the whole world yet loses his soul, what good is that? ” We should consider true success to be more fundamental and all-encompassing. A healthy psychology, balanced emotions, harmonious relationships, loving behaviour. I would highlight the following traits which I would use as benchmarks to discuss Positive Male Role Models. I would define the below as qualities which would lead to success in real-life. These are qualities which we should look for in our Positive Male Role Models, far more than strength of will, independence of spirit, refusal to accept defeat, etc. In any depiction of masculinity, I would use the following as a rule to define what I mean by Positive Masculinity and Toxic Masculinity. Socially Connected: A successful man is one who can maintain healthy relationships with others. This should be obvious. But it is extremely rare in films. The classic traditional masculine hero is a loner. Films are filled with male role models who abandon their families, friends, and society as a whole, in order to pursue some external goal or inner dream. This may be a personal ambition, mattering only to them, or, of course, they may be “saving the world”. The reason for their social isolation is beside the point however. The result is either a neglect of, or an inability to maintain healthy relationships. Occasionally such men learn their lesson near the end of the film, and discover the “power of love”, or “power of friendship”, but these are often depicted as rewards for their pursuit of their personal ambition rather than a correction to it. For instance the “Pursuit of Happyness” is an example of this. After googling this subject, in every internet list Chris Gardner is unfailingly cited as an example of a Positive Male Role Model. Yet Gardner abandons everything except his son in order to pursue his “American dream” of corporate success and wealth. As he takes an unpaid internship in order to pursue his dream he puts himself and his son through deprivation and distress (which any social worker would see as reason to take his son away from him). Yet this is presented within the film as Gardner being a loving father, and at the end of the film his dedication to his personal ambitions is rewarded not only with the corporate and financial success he desired, but also with a tender and rewarding relationship with his son. In reality however, this desperate drive to put one’s own ambitions before the comfort and security of one’s family is a toxic quality, and in real-life it leads to much familial resentment, broken relationships, and emotionally neglected children. The Positive opposite of this would be a man who took a low-paid and less personally rewarding job so that he could ensure his son didn’t have to sleep in a public toilet cubicle (this literally happens in the film). As a caveat, by “reality”, I mean the average or typical experience. “The Pursuit of Happyness” is of course supposedly based on a true story. But even if the author is being wholly truthful, his experience would not be typical. He would be one of the lucky few, and the majority of the people who made the choices he did would end up with damaged relationships, broken lives, and emotional ill-health. This quality of social-connectivity also excludes all of the “Mysterious old wizard” characters who are one of the most recognizable traditional positive role models for men. Obi-Wan, Yoda, Dumbledore, Mr Miyagi, and Gandalf for instance would traditionally be seen as extremely positive role models for men, because in the films they are framed as wise, kindly, gentle, yet with incredible hidden strengths and abilities, and always serve as the mentor-figure for the protagonist, teachers and examples for the protagonist to learn from. Yet, if we look beyond the fantasy of the “film-world” what would be the result of Joe Ordinary emulating these men? These men have abandoned society and any healthy long-term relationship in order to pursue an isolated and cloistered existence in order to devote themselves to their own obsessions. For Obi-Wan and Yoda, their hermitage is explained (vaguely) in the prequels as a necessary exile, yet it doesn’t take much to ask the question, “Really? ” And, of course, whatever excuses the film may provide for its characters, this is beside the point. It is the consequences we are concerned about. These “Mysterious old wizard” characters often have a mentor-type relationship with a single, particular “chosen one”, but this is part of the “film-world” and these fictional interactions are not replacements for regular healthy long-term relationships. Even if the old monk, ancient wizard, or grandfather is a positive presence in the film protagonist’s life, that also is beside the point. We must step outside the film-world and recognise that spending decades on one’s own, cut-off from the richness and reward of mutually-giving and loving relationships, just to impart a few minutes of mysterious wisdom on one young person isn’t actually a healthy way to live. In reality this kind of behaviour would lead to mental illness and a crippling of one’s ability to relate to others at all. Not only are the “Mysterious old Wizard” characters excluded, so too must we exclude the other, most recognizable and popular male character, the “Lone Gunslinger”. This character is endearingly popular, no less so today than it has ever been. There are often excuses for the Lone Gunslinger’s isolation, perhaps they used to be a family man but their loved one died tragically, perhaps they are on an extremely important quest. The excuse the film gives them is beside the point however. Whether the character is presented as simply as ‘The Man with No Name’ from ‘The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly’, who is given no backstory at all, or is given a token excuse such as John Wick’s tragically dead wife, the result is the same. The “Lone Gunslinger” works alone, travels alone, fights alone. And this is true even if he is with someone else. Sometimes he allies with a secondary character for a short time, but never for long, and it’s always a one-way street, the secondary character is there to help the Lone Gunslinger achieve his goal, and then the Gunslinger is off again, riding towards the sunset. The Lone Gunslinger always keeps others at arm’s length, he doesn’t open up personally, or share any genuine friendships other than a working one. Though the film may give him many people who call him a friend, they are always acting in the role of servants, usually because of a debt they owe him, or some act of true friendship which is long in the past and never depicted. Sometimes, the Lone Gunslinger is presented in a very positive light, for example with the character of Aragorn. Yet the underlying qualities of the character remain. He begins as “Strider”, a socially-isolated wandering ranger. And although through the films, he works with others within a fellowship yet even as part of a group, the Lone Gunslinger’s inherently unhealthy qualities remain. He keeps others at arm’s length. He doesn’t easily open up about his past. He is one that will always stand slightly apart from others (except for his one true love, of course – the only one who he can truly connect with, though this is a purely idealised relationship). For we must not interpret Aragorn as positive just because he is represented as such within the exceptional circumstances of the film-world, but we must imagine his qualities if they were emulated and practised by Joe Ordinary in his daily-life. Would they still be positive qualities? Would they lead to a positive and healthy life? I would say that they would lead to arrogance, pride, social-isolation, and an inability to properly relate to others. Joe Ordinary simply cannot emulate Aragorn, and any attempt to do so would be unhealthy for him. Emotionally Open: Often tied to being socially connected, a successful and healthy man is one who can be emotionally open with others. Repressed emotions lead to negative behaviours. This is a basic truth of psychology. Yet, again, depictions of emotionally-open men are extremely rare in films. Most male role models are emotionally-closed-off, incapable of expressing their emotions except through sublimation into other activities, usually competitive activities. Men are depicted as more comfortable with communicating through actions than with words, and their actions are usually simple displays of dominance, or control, or unhealthy explosions of rage, obsession, or grief. And an uncontrolled explosion of emotion is not “emotional-openness” as a positive quality. Emotional-openness must be tempered by self-awareness and balance, and be non-harmful to others, even when the emotion is powerful. Being emotionally-closed-off is often linked with social-isolation, but not always. For instance, Rocky is quite well socially-connected, a part of the community, always greeting his neighbours, and well-liked. Yet for all his positive qualities, he is still incapable of expressing his emotions except through beating up other men in the ring. His is plagued by a deep-rooted insecurity that drives him back to the ring again and again, putting his life, health, and family’s welfare at risk repeatedly simply so that he can feel he has self-worth. Yet despite his success, this sense of self-worth is always transitory and passing, requiring it to be repeated continually. He is fundamentally an example of unhealthy masculinity, crippled by his insecurities into seeking self-worth through inherently damaging means. This quality would also exclude such examples as Marlin from Finding Nemo. Despite being an example of a dedicated and self-sacrificing father, he is emotionally closed-off as a result of previous emotional trauma. This leads to him smothering his son, and leading a fearful life. And while fear and worry are emotions, these outbursts of uncontrolled emotion are not a product of emotional-openness but repressed grief and guilt. While Marlin learns a lesson about this during the film (and again in the second film), within the film itself he does not serve as a Positive Role Model who should be emulated. Peaceful: Again, often connected with the above qualities, a successful and healthy man is one who can live at peace with others, without needing to beat others or prove himself better than them in order to be satisfied. This is not just peacefulness in terms of violence, but also in terms of competitiveness. This is a more controversial quality. I am not saying that competitiveness is inherently unhealthy, or that all sportsmen are psychologically unhealthy. Competition can be engaged in healthily. However, the drive to achieve self-worth through competition is unhealthy. It is the obsession, or the need to beat others that is damaging. Or just the need to prove oneself, through winning recognition or fame through competition. It is the sense that a person cannot be satisfied with themselves, unless they are recognised as better than those around them. Fundamentally it is the fixed coupling of one’s self-worth to success of any kind. If success (whether in work, sport, or battle) is seen as increasing someone’s worth, then any reverse or frustration will not just be an external event, but will damage a person’s sense of their own value, and furthermore no success will ever be enough. This drive to seek self-worth through success over others is a form of envy, and leads to continuous dissatisfaction, as any victory is fleeting, and no success is ever enough. Rather, a positive and healthy man would be able to be a graceful loser, to enjoy any game for its own sake and, in the words of Rudyard Kipling, “meet with Triumph and Disaster, And treat those two impostors just the same”. A healthy man recognises that a game is just a game (or job, or sport, or any other competition), and the man who loses is just as much a valued and worthy man as the one who succeeds. This quality would exclude positive depictions of men such as Eddie the Eagle in the eponymous film. Despite his other positive qualities, his desperate desire to seek personal fame and success by defeating others in the Olympics actually leads to an unhealthy life, causing him to break his relationships with his loving parents, and driving him to put his life at risk again and again. More surprisingly for many, this would also exclude such otherwise-positive characters as Captain America, Superman (Christopher Reeves, of course) and Spiderman. Although they demonstrate many positive traits that can be emulated, their approach to problems is almost always to physically overpower them. This is the fundamental problem with all superheroes. Because they are intended to be heroic their characters will always come adorned with many characteristics which can be viewed as positive. But their plot demands that they are all framed within a world and scenario that resolves its problems through violence. These films reward their protagonists based on the rule of right-makes-might. This is the inverse of might-makes-right but the coupling of the traits is just as intentional. Rather than presenting the worldview that the strongest is therefore the better person, it presents the worldview that the better person is therefore the strongest. Indeed often the strength of the hero increases or decreases (either overtly or through subtext) depending on how good of a person they act. See Thor, for instance, which is the most obvious example of the linking of “moral worthiness” (though what that means is kept helpfully vague) with strength and success. But the concept of “good” or “worthy” within the film-world is often very different from what is “positive”. In Thor, moral worthiness is understood as connected with self-sacrificial risk. Thor’s selfish desire for personal glory at the expense of his friends makes him lose his powers, but when he proves willing to sacrifice his own life to protect his friends Thor receives his superpowers again. In Spiderman 2, Peter begins to lose his powers, which is hinted to be because of his conflict within himself between his desire to be with MJ and with being Spiderman. The film is quite on-the-nose about it, with Doc Ock saying to Peter early on, “Love should never be kept secret. If you keep something as complicated as love stored up inside, it could make you sick. ” This is an interesting example as although this film’s theme could have been an encouragement towards “emotional-openness”, Peter’s powers return, not when he is honest with MJ (he keeps his love for her secret even at the close of the film), but when he resolves his conflict by effectively suppressing his desire for a normal life and embracing his Spiderman persona fully. This suppression of his normal emotions, and enforced secrecy of his true feelings in the service of “heroism” makes sense within the film-world but is not a “positive” quality as it is inherently psychologically damaging in real-life. Superhero films provide a classic example of looking beyond the film-world and asking the question, what would happen to Joe Ordinary if he actually tried to emulate these characters? I believe the results would actually look very different from how are depicted in the films (even if we exclude magical powers). Success through physically overpowering enemies or obstacles is not a positive trait because it cannot be emulated, it is ultimately a fantasy that leads to and nurtures an unhealthy perspective that good people will be mightier and more successful than others, and therefore weaker or less successful people are less worthy and less valued. Within the specific events of the film’s world, the actions of the hero are framed as inherently positive, and rewarded with success. But outside the film-world, similar actions would be damaging and be typically met with defeat, frustration, or simple escalation of violence and an increasing level of harm. Even outside of violence, this quality is very different from how male competitiveness in general is traditionally presented. Competitiveness is commonly understood as an extremely positive quality, a drive that leads one to achieve great things, and without it, nothing great or impressive could be accomplished. It is commonly understood that no one would excel unless they were driven to excel by some inner need. And this may be true, the greatest accomplishments of history may well be the result of this quality. However, it does not result in a healthy life or in lasting satisfaction. It damages relationships, and leads to self-damaging behaviours, as well as damaging one’s sense of self-worth. If society asks men to sacrifice their happiness and health in order to produce impressive feats and achievements, then is that a fair trade for the individual? Compassionate: At this point, we are getting into consequences of positive masculinity rather than causes. I am using this quality as a referent for all positive consequences. A man who is socially-connected, emotionally open, and peaceful will, I believe, naturally go on to exhibit qualities of compassion; generosity, kindness to others, and self-sacrificial love. A man who is not depicted as exhibiting these qualities, yet exhibits the rest of the above, may just be a result of poor writing. In any case, if they are depicted as showing the opposite qualities; cruelty, callousness, miserliness, abusiveness, or selfishness, then they should be excluded as an example of positive masculinity by default. Sometimes, a character can show these qualities while not demonstrating some of the others above. This is often because of some trauma in their past which has circumscribed their ability to connect with the wider world. For instance, Newt Scamander in Fantastic Beasts demonstrates great compassion towards animals and his small circle of friends, but is otherwise socially-isolated and emotionally-closed off towards the wider world (effectively symbolised by his life-within-a-suitcase, which remains closed and secret, even though the locks are only intermittently secure). For this reason, while he is an example of positive alternative masculinity, he cannot be used directly as a positive role model. This will be the subject of a second post in the future. Complete: Finally, I will add this one. In many films, we see a damaged or troubled character who have personal issues they need to overcome. By the end of the film they may learn an important life-lesson which is an example of Positive Masculinity. This is certainty an example of positive masculinity in film, and I am planning to write more about this in a subsequent post. However, I wanted to focus specifically on the concept of "Role Models" in this post. While characters that learn positive lessons can be helpful inspirations for us, the Role Model is a specific type of character that is separate from the flawed hero who learns to be better. In order to serve as a Role Model I would argue that a character needs to already be complete and demonstrating Positive characteristics fully from the beginning of the film. A damaged or troubled character can certainly show positive qualities in overcoming their issues or bettering themselves. But I would term such characters as “Inspirational” for the viewer rather than “Aspirational”. To qualify directly as a Role Model in particular, a character must not be incomplete, damaged or traumatised, even though this would not disqualify a real-life person from being considered positive. A Role Model is not someone who is becoming a Role Model, or learns to become one, but someone who is a Role Model already. This is because the Role Model is someone who has achieved success at being an emotionally-open, socially-connected, peaceful man, and thus can be looked up to by other characters (and the viewer) as a goal to aim for in the development of one's own character. They represent the idea that it is possible for adult men to exist who are completely positive characters. This is an important (and largely missing) representation of masculinity in film. Most men in film are presented as needing to be fixed in some way. The representation of damaged, negligent, distant, sexually-selfish, violent, needy, emotionally-repressed men are innumerable, and while they often learn lessons that fix some (or even all) of these issues, I think it is important to represent the existence of men who aren't negative until the plot, or another character, manages to fix them. Ultimately, we must aim for the idea that men shouldn't need to be fixed. We should already be positive characters. The fact that many of us aren't is a social failing that needs to be corrected. And one strong way that media can correct it is through the normalisation of positive male characters, not always the normalisation of negative-but-fixable male characters. Examples: Finally, if you’ve read this far, you have earned the chance to suggest your own example of Positive Male Role Models from films. They do not have to be protagonists, but they do need to have enough screen time that we can say something about them. Please post the film, the character you’re thinking of, and an explanation of why you think they qualify as a Positive Male Role Model. If you disagree with any of my qualifications above, then you are free to post examples of Role Models that contradict them, but please pay attention to my points above and explain why you think I’m wrong. Don’t just post, “I think Rambo’s cool”, without any explanation. My own examples of some films which portray Positive male role models are as follows: Slumdog Millionaire Throughout the film, Jamal demonstrates a desire to protect Latika from harm, not seeking to win her out of a selfish desire to possess her, but in order to protect her from those who seek to use her and treat her as property. One gets the impression that even if she did not love him back and wanted to only be friends, he would still act exactly the same out of his self-sacrificing love for her. In other regards, Jamal does not avoid society, but embraces other people as best he can in his circumstances. And interestingly for a show about winning a million dollars, he does not care about the money, he enters the competition only as a means to rescue Latika. He is emotionally open and speaks of his past traumas freely when asked, without repressing them or sublimating them. He is not perfect, as I would say his social-connectivity and peacefulness could do with some work. But I think he is certainly worthy of inclusion. Hacksaw Ridge Desmond demonstrates a self-sacrificial desire to save others at his own expense. This is not at the expense of his social-connectivity or his peacefulness, since he enters the army as a determined non-combatant, and maintains solid relationships with his family back home, and with his new comrades (eventually). He does not seek isolation, nor does he pursue his goal at the expense of others. He also remains emotionally open throughout. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood I think this is an obvious one, so shouldn’t need explanation. Princess Mononoke A brilliant example of a peaceful warrior, which Japanese cinema perhaps does far better than the West. Ashitaka never uses his strength or skill of arms to harm others except as a last resort in the pursuit of peace, and even then he sincerely regrets it afterwards. He continually seeks peace, even during wartime, not seeking to defeat enemies but to reconcile with them. Despite being an armed warrior, it is this sincere desire for reconciliation between enemies which prevents him from becoming a traditionally toxic warrior hero. Ashitaka never gives up trying to protect others, not through taking lives, but through saving them. For him, a death is always a tragedy, even, right at the beginning the death of a demon who threatened to destroy his village. He immediately sees that the boar demon has been corrupted by events outside his control, and regrets having to kill him. And when he is fleeing unnamed samurai who attack him without cause, he is forced to kill them in order to escape and expresses sincere regret again afterwards. Even when faced with implacable opponents, he never loses his regard for them as human beings, or seeks their destruction. At the end he allows both Jigo and Eboshi to leave peacefully, which is quite a shock to the viewer who expects some level of comeuppance to morally punish them for their selfish and short-sighted mistakes. This is also an example of how someone being on a lone quest doesn’t have to turn them into the “Lone Gunslinger” archetype. Despite having had to leave all of his previous relationships through the demon’s curse, this is never used as an excuse for Ashitaka to keep others at a distance, or be socially-isolated or emotionally-closed. He always seeks genuine connections with the people he meets along the way, and shows sincere care, respect, and sympathy for even the lowliest person he meets, even if they themselves show him hostility. And at the end he doesn’t ride off into the sunset, but remains with the town he’s saved. EDIT: Some additional explanation of the value gained by including Completeness as a quality since several posters were commenting on this.
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Further, contextualization of information remains an ongoing challenge, as does keeping up with a fluid situation. Final word will always belong to the health authorities, as well as the mods of this subreddit. Now brace yourself, because this is going to suck a little bit. CONTEXT: A recent in-depth study has shown just how incredibly infectious COVID-19 is. Unfortunately, its spread has not slowed, and the virus has only been halted through stringent social distancing measures. In other words, and as the Director of the WHO himself has said, this is not a drill. The bad news: There are currently over 150, 000 global confirmed cases of COVID-19, and the WHO recently classified it as a pandemic. Now it seems that it has arrived upon your doorstep, which means there is likely silent human-to-human transmission in the community. The good news: knowledge is a weapon that defeats these things. It worked in 1918 against the Spanish Flu, when we essentially stopped the medieval practice of blood-letting (you know when they drained you of blood because they thought that would cure whatever ailed you? Or leeching? ). And it worked against many other outbreaks since: Smallpox, MERS, SARS, Ebola, etc. The WHO's tackling of Smallpox alone was nothing short of scientific heroism. And so, a hundred years after 1918, here we are again, facing perhaps the greatest test of our generation. The problem is that these days we're inundated with so much information that, when a real threat comes along, it's buried under a mountain of clutter. And although this document is not all-encompasing by any means, hopefully it will help you see through some of that clutter, as well as give those new to the threat an opportunity to hit the ground running. So go ahead and meet your foe. Do not underestimate it. Now prepare to go to war. IMPORTANT: The main mode of transmission is via respiratory droplets: coughing, sneezing, and breathing. But you can also get it through shaking hands, kissing somebody who is sick, or touching a contaminated surface (droplet dispersion; think of a cough plume settling). This can include handrails, doorknobs, elevator buttons, and surfaces prone to a droplet dispersion cloud. "Cough dispersion" basically means anytime a sick person coughs, they're dispering a plume of droplets over a given area. The viral particles within those droplets then settle on ordinary surfaces. People touch those surfaces then touch their phones or their faces, which in turn lead to contact with their eyes, mouth, or nose, inducing infection. Therefore it is best to keep a 6 ft "coughing distance" from people, and treat everything you touch in public as if it's been contaminated (see the "Risk Reduction" section below). Here's an excellent short video on the topic. Read a little more on the subject here. [AWAITING PEER REVIEW, BUT IS GAINING ACCEPTANCE IN THE SCIENTIFIC COMMUNITY] There now appears to be evidence the virus can spread through breathing. Michael Osterholm, PhD, MPH, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota: "The findings [of the study] confirm that COVID-19 is spread simply through breathing, even without coughing. Don't forget about hand washing, but at the same time we've got to get people to understand that if you don't want to get infected, you can't be in crowds. Social distancing is the most effective tool we have right now. " Source. (Crucial to understand: the research specifies patients who are symptomatic, and makes no claims about asymptomatic transfer. ) UPDATE: Dr. Osterholm just went on the Joe Rogan show to explain the situation. Although the show itself has been known to be controversial, the Doctor's credentials speak for themselves. [AWAITING PEER REVIEW] A new study indicates COVID-19 can survive in the air for up to 3 hours, and several days on surfaces, depending on the surface (up to 3 days on plastic, up to 2 days on metal, up to 1 day on cardboard). ( Article | Study) [AWAITING PEER REVIEW] New analysis seems to indicate infected people without symptoms might be driving the spread of coronavirus more than we realized (CNN link, with links to multiple studies in the article) Up to 1 in 5 infected people may require hospitalization source 1, source 2. But this is an oversimplification as the metric skews toward the elderly and those with comorbidities (see the Mortality/Comorbidities section below). Plus the metrics differ based on region and testing capacity. Here's a breakdown of the above: Approximately 80% of laboratory confirmed patients have had mild to moderate disease, which includes non-pneumonia and pneumonia cases. 13. 8% have had severe disease requiring hospitalization, and 6. 1% were critical, requiring the ICU (respiratory failure, septic shock, and/or multiple organ dysfunction/failure). (These numbers are as of Feb 20, 2020, based on 55, 924 laboratory confirmed cases in China, from the WHO report. ) Update: European Society of Intensive Care Medicine is reporting a 10% ICU rate, and has issued a word of warning. Due to the highly infectious nature of COVID-19, the danger is not just the mortality rate for the vulnerable, but the possibility of overwhelming the health infrastructure, which in turn causes unnecessary fatalities. As it stands, it wouldn't take much to overwhelm hospitals, hence why it's important to start taking preventative measures now (outlined in the Risk Reduction section below)—especially because hospitals are already burdened with a heavy flu season (in the Northern hemisphere, that is). For example, if only 10 out of every 1000 people required a bed, we'd already be coming up short, as in the USA there are only 2. 77 beds for every 1000 people, and 2. 58 in Canada. Why is this important? In South Korea, 4 in 22 deaths happened while waiting to be hospitalized ( source in Korean, as well as a discussion about it), and that's from South Korea, who is #2 in the world bedcount-wise with 12. 27 beds per 1000 people. And of course many beds will already be occupied for regular patients. Toronto Star soberly warns hospitals can’t cope if coronavirus outbreak worsens in Canada: March 6th. A surgeon working in the heart of Italy's outbreak gives a harrowing testimony and urges everyone to heed the warning that it can easily overwhelm hospitals ( translation / Original). This is a "novel" virus, which means the immune system has never been exposed to it and therefore everyone is susceptible. There is no vaccine, nor do authorities expect one for some time. People are thought to be most contagious when they are most symptomatic (the sickest). (Source: CDC) Update: "Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now | Politicians, Community Leaders and Business Leaders: What Should You Do and When? " ( link) Update: Excellent quick read on how normalcy lulls and how quickly this thing can hit, by The Washington Post: "When a danger is growing exponentially, everything looks fine until it doesn’t" ( link | archive link) Update: CNN: "Take this seriously. Coronavirus is about to change your life for a while" ( link) Update: WHO director: "We are deeply concerned both by the alarming levels of spread and severity, and by the alarming levels of inaction. " ( link) Update: "Any country that looks at the experience of other countries with large epidemics and thinks that it won’t happen to us is making a deadly mistake, " warned the WHO. PSYCHOLOGY: Do not panic, but give yourself permission to feel fear. Fear gets you prepared. As for panic, all one has to do is look at the crowded halls of Wuhan hospitals during the early phases of the outbreak to understand how panic worsens problems. A jolt of fear is all right, as it gets you moving in the right direction. After that point, however, you must turn to thinking clearly, level-headedly, and listen to your local health authorities. As for what you can do, follow the steps in the "Risk Reduction" section below. Ignoring this threat will only make it worse, as it preys on your underestimation of it. That underestimation may cost you your life, or the life of a loved one. Upon first learning about the extent of the threat, you may become anxious and hyper aware and start taking extra pecautions. This is normal, what psychologists call an adjustment reaction. A short guide on how to cope. Normalcy bias plays a factor. So does denial. You may hear things like "it's just a flu, nothing to worry about. " It is dangerously inaccurate to compare COVID-19 to the flu. Facing the threat will help you prepare for it while denial puts you and your loved ones at risk. People in denial may take foolish risks like attend crowded events during an active outbreak, or fail to take precautionary measures, thereby accidentally passing the virus on to others. Denial also slows community response. Here is an excellent Harvard piece on reactions and overreactions, denial versus panic, and the five principle bulwarks against denial. It is short and absolutely worth your time. For officials, crisis management teaches us that it is important not to downplay a threat, otherwise you may lose the public's trust. Do not fear inducing a panic (see the aforementioned paper). The public needs you to be clear, informative, competent, and proactive. Studies such as this one about the 1918 pandemic have shown just how effective a proactive approach can be on the part of leadership. But look what can happen on the other end of the spectrum. Update: A warning for leadership. If you're experiencing distress regarding this epidemic, please consider visiting COVID-19 mental health support. RISK REDUCTION: Think of those in your life who are vulnerable (see the Comorbidities section). If not for yourself, do it for them. Practice social distancing. Here's why it works. Do not touch your face (practice this one at home, as it's harder than you think). After every outing, wash your hands and disinfect your phone (the virus can likely live up to 96 hours on phone screens). And you're probably washing your hands wrong. Here's a short 1. 5 minute tutorial by the WHO. Carry disinfectant with you. But if you don't have any, know that soap works better than alcohol and disinfectants at destroying the structure of viruses ( source) Do not shake hands. While in public, try to keep a coughing distance from people, which is at least 6 feet. Treat everything you touch in public as a contaminated surface. If you use a travel mug, be sure to disinfect it after every outing. Disinfect doorknobs and often-touched places, especially keyboards and phones. Also disinfect reusable shopping bags, wallets, keys. Take initiative and disinfect doorknobs and elevator buttons in your building. Do not wait for management to do it for you. Keep disinfectant by every entrance to your house. Avoid anyone who is coughing, and stay away from poorly ventilated places. Stay away from crowds. Cough into your elbow, or preferably into a tissue that is disposed of into the trash. While in public, only touch things with your knuckle, a glove, or your sleeve. Touch elevator buttons with the tip of your key. Ask your boss to work from home as many transmissions happen at work. There is a global shortage of face masks. If you have extra, be prepared to donate some should the hospitals/care homes send a call out to the community. If you have extra bottles of hand-sanitizer, please consider sharing them with those who do not have any. This is about working together, and minimizing community spread helps everyone within the community, including you and your loved ones. Have 14 days of food in your home in case you are ordered under quarantine. There's nothing wrong with preparatory shopping in case of quarantine, but be careful not to do this once an outbreak has been declared in your city, as you may be lining up alongside sick people. At that point, it is better to shop at night/off hours, and after taking careful precautions. Or consider ordering your groceries online. Don't share a cup. Don't share eating utensils. Don't share a toothbrush. In fact, don't share anything that comes in direct contact with your mouth or nose. Keep air circulating. Dispersing droplets can keep you from getting a hefty, infectious dose. Open a window; turn on a fan. ( source) Use a humidifier. Keeping the humidity up will keep the protective membranes in your nose from drying out, which makes them less effective as they try to keep pathogens out. Mid-range humidity also appears to cause some viruses to decay faster. Besides practicing social distancing, always remember the top three: disinfect your phone, don't touch that ugly face of yours, and wash your filthy hands. After every outing. Seriously, if there's one thing you take away from this, do these three things. They may just save your life, or the life of a loved one. A nifty GIF to show the importance of taking precautions now. Be proactive. How can you help? INCUBATION PERIOD: People generally develop signs and symptoms, including mild respiratory symptoms and fever, on an average of 5. 1 days after intial infection. 97. 5% develop symptoms within 11. 5 days. "Current 14 day quarantine recommendation is 'reasonable' as only 1% will develop symptoms after release from 14 day quarantine. " Source / Discussion with regards to this section. TYPICAL SYMPTOMS: (All direct from WHO report based on 55, 924 laboratory confirmed cases in China. ) Fever (87. 9%) Dry cough (67. 7%) Fatigue (38. 1%) Sputum production (33. 4%) (a mixture of saliva and mucus coughed up from the respiratory tract) Shortness of breath (18. 6%) Sore throat (13. 9%) Headache (13. 6%) Joint pain (14. 8%) Chills (11. 4%) Nausea or vomiting (5. 0%) Nasal congestion (4. 8%) Diarrhea (3. 7%) Hemoptysis (0. 9%) (coughing up of blood or blood-stained mucus from the bronchi, larynx, trachea, or lungs) Conjunctival congestion (0. 8%) Here is what those symptoms look like on a visual timeline, in Fahrenheit. Here it is in Celsius. Health Canada: What to do if you're ill. CDC: What to do in your home if someone is sick Want to know the difference between a flu, a cold, and Covid-19? Here's a nifty visual. What Happens When You Get Coronavirus, and when should you go to the hospital? An excellent short official Canadian Public Health video What does it feel like to be sick? The New York Times spoke to six people with the virus. COMORBIDITIES: Underlying medical conditions that may increase the risk of serious COVID-19 for individuals of any age: People 60 years of age and older Diabetes (more here) Hypertension Cardiovascular disease Chronic respiratory disease Heart or kidney disease Cancer Those with weakened immune systems Obesity ( source / credentials of source) People with weakened respiratory system due to smoking/vaping ( source 1), ( source 2) Lung disease, including asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (chronic bronchitis or emphysema) or other chronic conditions associated with impaired lung function or that require home oxygen (Source: CDC, last page) If you fall into any of the above categories, the CDC says "it is especially important for you to take actions to reduce your risk of exposure. " UPDATE: "CDC: Americans over 60 should 'stock up' on supplies, avoid crowds" ( source). UPDATE: The New York Times detailed how 40% of Americans have chronic conditions and should immediately start taking extra precautions. Sources for comorbidities: WHO report / CDC, more from CDC. A CDC guide titled People at Higher Risk for COVID-19 Complications expounds on the point. MORTALITY RATE: (As of 20 February 2020 and based on 55, 924 laboratory-confirmed cases in China as per the WHO report. Please note mortality will differ from region to region based on regional comorbidities, as well as a host of other variables such as healthcare infrastructure, response time, etc. ) Age% of population% of infected Fatality 0-9 12. 0% 0. 9% 0 10-19 11. 6% 1. 2% 0. 1% 20-29 13. 5% 8. 1% 0. 2% 30-39 15. 6% 17. 2% 40-49 15. 6% 19. 4% 50-59 15. 0% 22. 4% 1. 3% 60-69 10. 4% 19. 2% 3. 6% 70-79 4. 7% 8. 8% 8. 0% 80+ 1. 8% 3. 2% 14. 8% UPDATE: Mortality numbers are starting to come in from Italy. Here's a data set of 11, 538 cases. Disease in children appears to be relatively rare and mild with approximately 2. 4% of the total reported cases reported amongst individuals aged under 19 years. A very small proportion of those aged under 19 years have developed severe (2. 5%) or critical disease (0. 2%), via WHO report. ADDITIONALS: The Average time from first symptoms to death is estimated to be 18 days ( source paper). Again, the metrics skew toward comorbidities. Due to the high mortality rate for people over 60, the authorities in Seattle are encouraging anyone in that demographic to stay home as much as possible. ( Source). But even as a young person you want to avoid COVID-19, and not only because you could pass it on to others with comorbidities, but because experts do not know what the longterm side effects of a novel coronavirus can be. And then there's the potential of suffering. The following is an example of a healthy 25-year-old nonsmoker who felt like he was going to suffocate from the virus. The virus is of zoonotic origin, sharing 99% DNA with the coronavirus that infects pangolins ( source). Update: This claim is now in dispute. During a black swan event, knowledge is power, and taking proper precautions now will minimize risk exposure for you and your loved ones. LANGUAGE TRANSLATIONS OF THIS DOCUMENT Portuguese Spanish (coming soon) You are invited to translate this document into your native language and post it to your native country sub. Please message me with the link so I can post it into this PSA. Thank you. A CURATED SET OF LINKS WORTHY OF YOUR TIME: Live numbers of global infections A scientist answers why South Korea's response is the best so far An excellent summary from Feb 29th why Covid-19 is worth your concern How canceled events and self-quarantines save lives, in one chart | This is how we all help slow the spread of coronavirus Coronaviruses: How long can they survive on surfaces? Sleepwalking Towards Disaster: Why COVID-19 isn’t just another flu A Guide: How To Prepare Your Home For Coronavirus Here’s what to do if you think you are sick and are worried it may be the coronavirus. Nursing 101: Caring for your loved ones at home What US Hospitals Should Do Now to Prepare for a COVID-19 Pandemic Effects of Closing Schools During the 1918-1919 Influenza Pandemic arguing that the sooner public health interventions began the better. OFFICIAL NATIONAL/INTERNATIONAL: Health Canada's COVID-19 Resource Centre Health Direct Australia CDC Resources for Households Latest on the virus direct from Harvard World Health Organization's rolling updates on coronavirus disease for COVID-19 COVID-19 on Health Canada CDC: Center for Disease Control Why I created this post: I've done the best job I could giving the sources context. I've asked the public and some medical professionals to weigh in, and have adjusted the document based on what they have said. I don't have an agenda or anything of that sort, and to reiterate, you are responsible for your own health and your own research. I'm just a volunteer who's put countless hours into this as I have a very particular communicative and collative skillset that I suspected could be of benefit in this ordeal—that and I've been following COVID-19 closely since mid-January. I hummed and hawed whether to even to start this document, yet after seeing how much it benefited people even in its crude early form, I decided to give it all of my focus. And now the beast is upon my doorstep, and I too have susceptible loved ones around me. The aim of this document was to inform, without minimizing risk. Accurate information reduces panic and anxiety, and helps people make the right decisions in a difficult time. I hope it succeeded in that regard, and that you found it useful. Yet there's always room for improvement, so feel free to constructively suggest changes (but if you're going to be a jerk about it, you will simply be blocked and ignored, and that's that). If you have a trustworthy more up-to-date source on an old metric of mine, please leave it in the comments. Also you are welcome to suggest alternative word/sentence choice changes. As I mentioned in the intro, this document went through many versions. Thank you to those from all around the world who had constructively weighed in to make it a more robust and useful PSA. Other communities are invited to post a link to the source doc in Sydney, Australia, or the one over in the Canada sub, both of which will be kept up to date (as will any of my PSA's that I posted myself, as long as they're still on the main page of that sub). My very best wishes from Victoria, BC, Canada, and good luck to us all. P. S. Feel free to share this post without attribution to me. This was never about credit. "Everything we do before a pandemic will seem alarmist. Everything we do after will seem inadequate. " —Michael Leavitt.
'Ordinary Love (2019) is exactly what it says on the tin: a portrait of mundane, turbulent, beautiful love. It charts the journey of a couple moving through tough times and is as thoughtful and nuanced as you'd hope. Its story is rather straightforward (it's pretty much exactly what you'd expect) but it delivers what it needs to and feels all the more 'real' because of it. The focus of the film is something that isn't actually explored all that often and it's great to see it portrayed so sensitively here. The picture's grounded, non- romanticised' romance is brilliant, too. It feels as close to 'real' as possible, an honest and moving exploration of love that never seems heightened or false. The two stars deliver the goods in their subtle, harder-than-you-may-expect roles, coming together as a compelling pair of, essentially, real people. They have flaws and they argue but they also have an undeniable connection. When this is exploited, it's really heart-warming. When it comes down to it, though, the flick just isn't all that exciting or, perhaps, impactful. It's engaging enough and never even close to boring, but it doesn't quite hit home as hard as it ought to. It's good, don't get me wrong. I can't quite put into words what it is that it is, for me, missing. I guess I'll say it like this: it's good, but it's not great. 6/10.
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1126226 Votes In 1987, Jordan Belfort procures a job as a Wall Street stockbroker for L.F. Rothschild, employed under Mark Hanna, who quickly entices him with the sex and drugs fueled stockbroker culture and passes on his idea that a stockbroker's only goal is to make money for himself. Jordan soon finds his career terminated following Black Monday and takes a job at a boiler room brokerage firm on Long Island that specializes in penny stocks. Thanks to his aggressive pitching style and the high commissions, Jordan makes a small fortune. Jordan befriends his neighbor, Donnie Azoff, and the two found their own company. They recruit several of Jordan's friends, whom Jordan trains in the art of the "hard sell". The basic method of the firm is a pump and dump scam. To cloak this, Jordan gives the firm the respectable-sounding name of Stratton Oakmont. After an expose in Forbes, hundreds of ambitious young financiers flock to his company. Jordan becomes immensely successful and slides into a decadent lifestyle of prostitutes and drugs. He has an affair with a woman named Naomi Lapaglia Directors: Martin Scorsese Duration: 180Minute USA
